Tuesday, July 31, 2007

The Future of Chinese Population

Today, the pollution problem has become a big concern, and people have interest in the largest country, China’s population.

According to “China's Population: Readings and Maps”, Chinese population has continued to rise until 20th century and today, they have about 1.3 billion people. And this writer argues about the following three points; the size of Chinese population, the change of this, and the population problem today.

First point is about how large Chinese population is. The writer shows the fact that the Chinese have the 1/5 population in the world. Still, China has huge land, this number is too big. The number of people gained each year is declining today, but 12 million people, as much as the population of NY, increases surely.

Second point is about the change of this population by Chinese policies. During the 20th century, the Chinese government thinks this huge population is a serious problem, and acts to reduce the number of people. For example, the one-child policy is famous. This law requires people to have fewer children, 1 is best, 2 are better, and 3 are bad. However, from the view of human rights, there are some opinions against those policies. Besides, those policies succeeded and population started to decrease, but in a huge population, the result can’t be so remarkable. Then, the change of population is not only the number, but also the form. Today, more Chinese are likely to live in an urban area and the number of old people is increasing because of long life expectancy.

Third point is about the population problem of China. Now, the material to use as energy is decreasing in China, although it has huge land. Needless to say, the population by those large population makes us worry.

By those points, which problems we can guess and try to prevent in China’s future? I think there will be these three things; the shortage of jobs, the high-pressure on children, and the dependence on resource of other countries.
The first problem is the shortage of jobs. The huge population will lead to this problem. This article explains, now the number of Chinese who are under 14 is 319,244,000, and that of U.S is 58,196,000. Besides, many people live in the country are still poor and there are few good jobs.

The second problem is the high pressure on Chinese children. For the policy to reduce population, most Chinese families have 1 or 2 children. Until today, the care for the old family is shared with a large number of brothers, however, now, they should have the weight with less number of brother. Besides, the small the number of children is, the more the amount of hope by their families is.

The third problem is the dependence on the resource of other countries. The shortage of domestic material encourages the import from foreign countries. Because of this problem, China can be poor and not free from relationships with other countries.

In conclusion, the Chinese government should not only solve the overpopulation problem, but also think about problems that can happen in the future. And there are some countries that have already those problems, like Japan. China can use those countries’ experiences for themselves.

Reference
China's Population: Readings and Maps (n.d.). Columbia University, East Asian Curriculum Project Retrieved (n.d) from
http://afe.easia.columbia.edu/china/geog/population.htm

1 comment:

eli_beli said...

Hi, I live in the UK and at school we have been learning about the population problems in China. The first two points you made about the shortage of jobs and pressure on children, we have done. However I had not heard about the reliance on other countries for resources, is this as large a problem as the other two?